Geopolitical Events

NZDJPY – Kiwi Gathers Momentum Eyeing 77.88
January 14, 2021

NZDJPY- Daily NZDJPY- The Japanese Yen finally regained some ground against the US Dollar during this afternoon's London session but continues to display weakness against many of its counterparts. In particular, the NZDJPY and AUDJPY crosses remain technically bullish in the short-term. Looking at the NZDJPY daily trend, we see a validated bull...

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Crude Oil – Saudi Production Cuts Spark Rally
January 12, 2021

USOIL- Hourly USOIL- It's been an impressive start to the year for Crude Oil prices so far, with prices steadily rising to over $50 per barrel and returning to pre-pandemic levels. It would seem many underestimated such a speedy recovery. Still, with the general uptick in global commodity prices and a pledge from Saudi Arabia to cut production ...

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EURUSD – Goldman’s 1.28 Estimate Matches P&F Analysis
January 7, 2021

EURUSD- Point & Figure EURUSD- The overall weakness of the US Dollar continues to dominate much of the FX markets at this stage. Despite a slight uptick in USDJPY this afternoon, the longer-term picture is starting to suggest more of the same, particularly against a much stronger Euro. In September, Goldman Sachs mentioned a 12-month price ...

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EURJPY – Unearthing A Potential 2015 Target
December 15, 2020

EURJPY - Point & Figure EURJPY - At the start of the month, we witnessed a sizeable shift in sentiment towards the Euro, hiking up demand and resulting in a strong bullish rally. Since then, price action has behaved mostly sideways, but there are signs of bullish activity stemming from this initial move. In today's Chart of The Day, we're lo...

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OPEC and allies reach a compromise
December 4, 2020

By Deepta Bolaky  @DeeptaGOMarkets The oil industry has remained pressurized by a supply glut and the ongoing uncertainty on the demand outlook with respect to the structural changes in the energy market and the pandemic. The recent vaccine updates and hopes that the pandemic may soon be under control, is providing support to a fundamentally batte...

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US Elections: COVID-19, Policies and Markets
August 14, 2020

By Deepta Bolaky  @DeeptaGOMarkets The Political Event of the Year 2020 The most-waited political event of the year is fast approaching: the US elections will take place on the 3rd of November. The nominees of the two main political parties - Republican and Democratic party are yet to be announced at the Presidential Nominating Convention. However...

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Forex This Week: What to Expect
June 1, 2020

By Deepta Bolaky  @DeeptaGOMarkets In the month of May, major currencies were stronger against the US dollar as risk sentiment improved and haven currencies like the US dollar, the Yen and Swiss franc have lost momentum. Commodity-linked currencies were among the best performers against the US dollar; lifted by higher commodity prices. Source: ...

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The Reopening Experiment and Geopolitical Risks
May 29, 2020

By Deepta Bolaky  @DeeptaGOMarkets The Grand Reopening Given the unprecedented nature of the Great Lockdown, the gradual reopening of economies are now being viewed as an experiment. World leaders are faced with tough decisions trying to manage unparalleled health and economic crisis and the differences of opinions over how, when and which busine...

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EURUSD: EU Recovery Plan and EU’s Frugal Four
May 26, 2020

By Deepta Bolaky  @DeeptaGOMarket EU Recovery Fund After a standoff between the EU and Germany, following a critical ruling on ECB’s quantitative easing program by Germany’s constitutional court, the gradual reopening of economies of member states within the Eurozone has brought some optimism. The downside risks for the Eurozone and its shar...

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The Lockdown, the Fallout and the Roadmap to Recovery
April 30, 2020

By Deepta Bolaky  @DeeptaGOMarkets Global Lockdown In an abrupt and unprecedented manner, the world witnessed a mass halt to global activities due to the pandemic. Governments and central banks rushed in to intervene and support the global economy with unconventional measures to cushion the impact of the coronavirus on their economies and ease ma...

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A Summary of Major US Earnings Reports
April 24, 2020

By Deepta Bolaky  @DeeptaGOMarkets A Summary of Major US Earnings Reports IBM, Netflix Inc, Snap AT&T, and Intel Corp were among the major large-cap corporations reporting earnings.Even though the pandemic is expected to portrait a dire outlook, earnings results are much awaited to gauge if large companies can muddle through the crisis and how...

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First Quarter: Crisis, Volatility, and Opportunities
March 31, 2020

By Deepta Bolaky  @DeeptaGOMarkets The first quarter of 2020 was marred by unpredicted events that rattled the financial markets: Tensions between US and Iran; The extreme weather conditions across the globe as a result of climate change; The novel coronavirus; and An oil price war between Saudi Arabia, the oil kingdom, and Russia. A T...

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The Perfect Storm Brewing in the Oil Market
March 27, 2020

By Deepta Bolaky  @DeeptaGOMarkets The Perfect Storm Brewing in the Oil Market The oil and gas industry has been undergoing significant challenges due to the structural shift within the industry. A pandemic-induced economic downturn and an oil price war have now added another layer of uncertainty to the oil markets. Tensions between Saudi Arabia ...

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An Action-Packed January
January 31, 2020

By Deepta Bolaky  @DeeptaGOMarkets January was an action-packed month with market-moving economic and geopolitical events. Investors barely had time for a breather as the new developments were crucial in setting the tone for the rest of the year. Climate Change There were many expectations that 2020 which marks the start of a new decade will be...

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2019 in a Nutshell and the Transition to a New Decade
December 20, 2019

By Deepta Bolaky  @DeeptaGOMarkets If we could describe the year 2019 in one word, we believe uncertainty says it all. The world entered 2019 with a high level of ambiguity and is poised to finish the year with the same extent of uncertainties. The Global Economic Policy Uncertainty Index which is a GDP-weighted average of national EPU indices fo...

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The Loonie – Best Performing G10 Currencies
October 24, 2019

By Deepta Bolaky  @DeeptaGOMarkets The Loonie Best Performing G10 Currencies After a tight campaign marred by scandals, Justin Trudeau secured another term as Prime Minister. Unlike a clear win in 2015, the Prime Minister did not pass the threshold of 170 seats and will lead a minority government. The governing party will be forced to depend on ...

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Critical Hours for Brexit
October 16, 2019

By Deepta Bolaky  @DeeptaGOMarkets Critical Hours for Brexit As the clock ticks for Brexit, Brussels and London seem to be working harder than before on their differences for a last-minute Brexit deal. The headlines in the past 48 hours have renewed optimism that the UK and European Union may secure a deal. However, even though the negotiations a...

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One Country, Two Systems
September 5, 2019

By Deepta Bolaky  @DeeptaGOMarkets One Country, Two Systems The Hong Kong protests have reached a point where it is threatening the “one country, two systems” that exists between the special international financial hub and the mainland. It started with demonstrations against the extradition bill which later turned into a movement against the ...

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August – A Challenging Month for Markets
August 29, 2019

By Deepta Bolaky  @DeeptaGOMarkets August – A Challenging Month for Markets A wave of volatility swamped the markets in August. Recession fears, yield curve inversion, and the big breach of the Yuan were the dominant headlines that alarmed investors throughout the month. Bearing the brunt of the tit-for-tat tariff hikes, the stock market saw mul...

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The European Union Top Jobs
July 4, 2019

By Deepta Bolaky  @DeeptaGOMarkets The European Union Top Jobs The European Central Bank (“ECB”) President The European leaders nominated Christine Lagarde, a French lawyer and a politician serving as Managing Director and Chairwoman of the International Monetary Fund ("IMF") as the ECB President. The ECB is responsible for the monetary polic...

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