Despite looking somewhat choppy and uninspiring on the longer-term charts, price action could be starting to heat up for the Kiwi Dollar as we venture into the lower time-frames in today’s Chart of The Day.
In particular, it’s the four-hour chart that we’re looking at above that currently shows a convincing bullish channel that emerged at the beginning of last month.
At present, the pair resides around the 0.6770 level in the upper regions of the channel, and we’ve seen plenty of impulsive moves higher to reach this area during recent sessions. If buyers manage to break above here, then 0.68 may slow things down a notch as resistance. It did this previously, forming a double-top reversal pattern.
On the other hand, if we resume this bullish channel’s path, NZDUSD might be in for a correction reasonably soon. Using the upper part of the channel as resistance, I suspect we could see bears target 0.67 and 0.6615, respectively. Furthermore, the RSI indicator is heading into heavily overbought territory, suggesting a price reversal may also be imminent.
Another directional clue linking to this pair is on the four-hour DXY (US Dollar Index) chart. The chart below shows the Dollar reaching a potentially strong support area at 92.47 with the scope for a rebound in price. It’s RSI indicator in stark contrast to NZDUSD shows the US Dollar sitting in heavily oversold territory.
Therefore, should this scenario occur on the DXY, a stronger Dollar may coincide with our bullish channel on our NZDUSD chart and begin to target the downside targets aforementioned.
Note: Click on charts to enlarge.
By Adam Taylor CTEe
Sources: Go Markets, Meta Trader 5, TradingView, Bloomberg
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